Wednesday, November 22, 2006

兑换率 / Exchange rate

苏丹蓬勃的经济大部份由石油工业支撑着。在2001年,1美元兑换255苏丹第纳,这个汇率直到2005年5月我离开时相对上稳定。

前几天一位苏丹旧同事说美元兑换率已经涨到204第纳,难以想象在短短的18个月里头苏丹币值劲升20%!这对外国投资业者影响重大,本土劳工与开销支出相应提高。

有谣言散布说短期内币值将会继续被推高到150第纳。我不是经济学家,但是我可以预测许多经济问题接踵而来。极有可能这是另一幕政治手段。


The booming economy of Sudan is largely supported by petroleum industry. In year 2001, the exchange rate was USD1 = SDD255 (Sudanese Dinar). It remained relatively stable till I left Sudan in May-2005,

A few days ago, a Sudanese ex-colleague informed that the exchange rate recently has appreciated to SDD204, an incredible 20% hike within 18 months! This would create problems to foreign investors on the increasing local costs (labour, facilities etc).

Rumours said this exchange rate is going to be pushed up to SDD150 within short. I’m not an economist, but I could foresee lots of economy chaos will follow subsequently. Very likely this is another political ploy.